Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes Prediction - August 15, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
Pacos Ferreira
0:1
Paredes
Projected score
1-2

Alternative:1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home2.81price rising, opened at 1.75
Draw3.23price falling, opened at 3.30
Away2.48price falling, opened at 4.48

Market move since Aug 14. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.31price falling, opened at 1.33
Under 1.53.25price rising, opened at 3.00
Over 2.52.11price rising, opened at 2.05
Under 2.51.73price rising, opened at 1.67
Over 3.53.33price falling, opened at 3.60
Under 3.51.30price rising, opened at 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes1.87price falling, opened at 1.95
No1.87price rising, opened at 1.75
Odd/Even
Odd1.93
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +02.05
Away +01.77

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 2, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Paredes are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Paredes average 2.4 goals per match against 0.4 for Pacos Ferreira.
  • Paredes won 4 of their last 5 matches; Pacos Ferreira won 0 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-28.5%Projected
  2. 1-18.0%Alternative
  3. 2-27.1%
  4. 2-16.7%
  5. 1-36.0%

Top five combined: 36.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePacos FerreiraxG1.68
AwayParedesxG2.12
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.2%
3.8%
3.2%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
1
4.8%
8.0%
6.7%
3.7%
1.6%
0.5%
0.2%
2
5.0%
8.5%
7.1%
4.0%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
3
3.6%
6.0%
5.0%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.9%
3.2%
2.7%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.8%
1.3%
1.1%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
6+
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 71.5%28.5% No
Over 1.5 89.2%10.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 73.0%27.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 52.6%47.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Pacos Ferreira win and over 2.5 goals24.0%
Pacos Ferreira win and both teams score21.1%
Paredes win and over 2.5 goals38.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals10.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Pacos Ferreira or draw51.7%
Paredes or draw69.1%
Either team wins79.2%
Draw no bet: Pacos Ferreira39.0%
Draw no bet: Paredes61.0%
Pacos Ferreira win to nil9.8%
Paredes win to nil16.5%
Team goals
Pacos Ferreira to score81.3%
Paredes to score88.0%
Pacos Ferreira over 1.5 goals49.9%
Paredes over 1.5 goals62.5%
Pacos Ferreira clean sheet12.0%
Paredes clean sheet18.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Pacos Ferreira vs Paredes
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1330072+59
1330091+89
2320153+26
2321051+47
3312043+15
3320153+26
4311173+44
4312042+25
531114404
531115504
631112204
631112204
7311123-14
7311134-14
8301225-31
8310213-23
9301228-61
9301225-31
10300327-50
10301218-71
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Varzim33007259
1CF Os Belenenses33009189
2Paredes32015326
2Atlético CP32105147
3Oliveirense31204315
3AD Marco 0932015326
4Mafra31117344
4Fafe31204225
5Guimaraes B31114404
5Louletano31115504
6Vianense31112204
6Lusitano Évora 191131112204
7SC Covilha311123-14
7Leça311134-14
8Caldas301225-31
8Trofense310213-23
9Vitória de Sernache301228-61
9São João Ver301225-31
10Pacos Ferreira300327-50
10União Santarém301218-71