Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers Prediction - August 15, 2026
Alternative:1-1
Goals: Under 3.51.22Won
What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers?
The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Pohang Steelers are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Pohang Steelers have lost all five of their last matches and scored only twice in that run, and the model backs Under 3.5 goals at 1.22 with 84% confidence in this K League 1 meeting with Gwangju FC. Gwangju haven't fared much better in front of goal, netting three times across their own last five.
Two teams that can't buy a goal
Gwangju have averaged 0.6 goals a game and Pohang 0.4, the lowest combined scoring rate of any fixture on this slate. Pohang's defensive mood rating sits at 3.9, the softest number in the match, and they've shipped ten goals across their five straight defeats, but Gwangju's own attack hasn't been sharp enough to punish a defence that leaky.
History says this pairing can explode
The head-to-head has produced a 2-3 result before, and Pohang, winless and desperate for a result, may commit more men forward than their recent form suggests. Gwangju have also lost back-to-back matches by 2-0 and 1-2, evidence their own defence isn't watertight either, which is the clearest route past 3.5 goals.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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Grade: WON
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 0-026.2%
- 0-119.1%Projected
- 1-016.0%
- 1-111.7%Alternative
- 0-27.0%
Top five combined: 80.0%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
Lost2 selections at 1.97
See the ticket
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 11, 2026 | Gwangju FC | 0 - 3 | Pohang Steelers |
| April 22, 2026 | Pohang Steelers | 1 - 0 | Gwangju FC |
| August 10, 2025 | Pohang Steelers | 1 - 0 | Gwangju FC |
| May 18, 2025 | Pohang Steelers | 0 - 1 | Gwangju FC |
| March 22, 2025 | Gwangju FC | 2 - 3 | Pohang Steelers |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +20 | 42 | ||
| 2 | 19 | +12 | 32 | ||
| 3 | 19 | +9 | 30 | ||
| 4 | 19 | +1 | 28 | ||
| 5 | 19 | -1 | 28 | ||
| 6 | 19 | +4 | 27 | ||
| 7 | 19 | +4 | 27 | ||
| 8 | 19 | -2 | 24 | ||
| 9 | 19 | +1 | 20 | ||
| 9 | 19 | +1 | 20 | ||
| 10 | 19 | -7 | 19 | ||
| 11 | 19 | -8 | 17 | ||
| 12 | 19 | -33 | 10 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 42 | |
| 2 | Gangwon FC | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 32 | |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 30 | |
| 4 | Pohang Steelers | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 28 | |
| 5 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 28 | |
| 6 | FC Anyang | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 27 | |
| 7 | Incheon United | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 | |
| 8 | Jeju United FC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 | |
| 9 | Daejeon Citizen | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 20 | |
| 9 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 20 | |
| 10 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 19 | |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 19 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 17 | |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 43 | -33 | 10 |