Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

3-4

Alternative:1-1

BTTS: Yes1.62Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.04

Draw3.56

Away3.36

Market move since Aug 12. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.25

Under 1.53.75

Over 2.51.89

Under 2.51.91

Over 3.52.97

Under 3.51.36

Both teams to score

Yes1.68

No2.11

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.87

Handicap

Home -0.251.78

Away +0.252.03

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?

The model's leading scoreline is 3 - 4, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Caernarfon Town are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 12, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

Caernarfon Town and Colwyn Bay average 4.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-112.3%Alternative
1-09.5%
0-18.8%
2-18.6%
1-27.9%

Top five combined: 47.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCaernarfon TownxG1.40

AwayColwyn BayxG1.29

6.8%

9.5%

6.7%

3.1%

1.1%

0.3%

0.1%

8.8%

12%

8.6%

4.0%

1.4%

0.4%

0.1%

5.6%

7.9%

5.5%

2.6%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

2.4%

3.4%

2.4%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.8%

1.1%

0.8%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 54.5%45.5% No

Over 1.5 74.9%25.1% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 50.3%49.7% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 28.3%71.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Caernarfon Town win and over 2.5 goals23.5%

Caernarfon Town win and both teams score18.9%

Colwyn Bay win and over 2.5 goals20.0%

Draw and under 2.5 goals19.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Caernarfon Town or draw65.6%

Colwyn Bay or draw60.3%

Either team wins74.2%

Draw no bet: Caernarfon Town53.6%

Draw no bet: Colwyn Bay46.4%

Caernarfon Town win to nil20.8%

Colwyn Bay win to nil17.8%

Team goals

Caernarfon Town to score75.4%

Colwyn Bay to score72.4%

Caernarfon Town over 1.5 goals40.9%

Colwyn Bay over 1.5 goals36.8%

Caernarfon Town clean sheet27.6%

Colwyn Bay clean sheet24.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay

Head to Head

Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
April 3, 2026	Colwyn Bay	0 - 2	Caernarfon Town
February 27, 2026	Caernarfon Town	3 - 0	Colwyn Bay
January 31, 2026	Caernarfon Town	4 - 1	Colwyn Bay
December 27, 2025	Caernarfon Town	1 - 2	Colwyn Bay
October 4, 2025	Colwyn Bay	1 - 0	Caernarfon Town

League Table

Premier LeagueWales · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barry Town	6	6	0	0	17	7	+10	18
2	The New Saints	6	5	1	0	16	3	+13	16
3	GAP Connah S Quay FC	6	5	0	1	17	4	+13	15
4	Cardiff MET	6	4	0	2	16	7	+9	12
5	Caernarfon Town	6	4	0	2	15	9	+6	12
6	Llandudno	6	4	0	2	13	7	+6	12
7	Penybont	6	3	3	0	10	5	+5	12
8	Colwyn Bay	6	3	1	2	8	10	-2	10
9	Airbus UK	6	3	0	3	11	9	+2	9
10	Cambrian & Clydach	6	2	2	2	8	8	0	8
11	Briton Ferry	6	2	1	3	5	10	-5	7
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	6	1	0	5	2	12	-10	3
13	Ammanford AFC	6	0	2	4	4	14	-10	2
14	Flint Town United	6	0	1	5	6	11	-5	1
15	Trefelin	6	0	1	5	2	17	-15	1
16	Holywell	6	0	0	6	9	26	-17	0

Europa LeagueRelegation

Premier League - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Barry Town	6	6	0	0	17	7	10	18	W
2	The New Saints	6	5	1	0	16	3	13	16	D
3	GAP Connah S Quay FC	6	5	0	1	17	4	13	15	L
4	Cardiff MET	6	4	0	2	16	7	9	12	W
5	Caernarfon Town	6	4	0	2	15	9	6	12	W
6	Llandudno	6	4	0	2	13	7	6	12	W
7	Penybont	6	3	3	0	10	5	5	12	D
8	Colwyn Bay	6	3	1	2	8	10	-2	10	W
9	Airbus UK	6	3	0	3	11	9	2	9	W
10	Cambrian & Clydach	6	2	2	2	8	8	0	8	L
11	Briton Ferry	6	2	1	3	5	10	-5	7	W
12	Haverfordwest County AFC	6	1	0	5	2	12	-10	3	L
13	Ammanford AFC	6	0	2	4	4	14	-10	2	L
14	Flint Town United	6	0	1	5	6	11	-5	1	L
15	Trefelin	6	0	1	5	2	17	-15	1	L
16	Holywell	6	0	0	6	9	26	-17	0	L

Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay Prediction - August 15, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

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Correlated combos

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Head to Head

League Table