Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.25Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.94

Draw3.38

Away3.88

Market move since Aug 12. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.42

Under 1.52.75

Over 2.52.31

Under 2.51.57

Over 3.54.23

Under 3.51.20

Both teams to score

Yes2.02

No1.74

Odd/Even

Odd1.87

Even1.87

Handicap

Home -0.251.72

Away +0.252.13

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Vila Nova are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Aug 12, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-3Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Under 3.5 goals is the pick for Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova on 15 August, priced at 1.25 with the model rating it an 80 percent probability. Vila Nova have scored only twice across their last five matches, and Atletico Goianiense's 4.8 defence rating sits above an away attack rated only 4.6.

Vila Nova have found the net in only two of their last five games

Vila Nova lost 0-1 at home to Sport Recife on 8 August, then lost 0-2 away at CRB and 0-2 away at Criciuma either side of a single 2-1 home win over Fortaleza. That is two goals scored across five matches, which is exactly what averageGoalsAway of 0.4 says on its own. Atletico Goianiense's attack has been steadier, scoring in four of its own last five and averaging 1.2 goals a match, and their 4.9 attack rating clears Vila Nova's 4.6 defence rating by enough to expect a goal or two from the home side without the game opening up.

Atletico have won three of the last five meetings, but one went to four goals

Atletico Goianiense have won three of the last five head to head meetings to Vila Nova's one, with a single draw between them, so the recent history sits with the home side. The match that threatens Under 3.5 is Atletico's own 3-1 home win over Operario-PR on 27 July, four goals in a single game. If that same home outburst repeats and Vila Nova manage even one goal on the counter, as they did in their 2-1 home win over Fortaleza, the total clears 3.5.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-020.6%Projected
0-019.2%
1-111.9%Alternative
0-111.1%
2-011.0%

Top five combined: 73.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAtletico GoianiensexG1.07

AwayVila NovaxG0.58

19%

21%

11%

3.9%

1.1%

0.2%

0.0%

11%

12%

6.4%

2.3%

0.6%

0.1%

0.0%

3.2%

3.4%

1.8%

0.7%

0.2%

0.0%

0.6%

0.7%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 28.9%71.1% No

Over 1.5 49.2%50.8% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 23.0%77.0% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 8.6%91.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Atletico Goianiense win and over 2.5 goals15.6%

Atletico Goianiense win and both teams score10.4%

Vila Nova win and over 2.5 goals5.4%

Draw and under 2.5 goals31.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Atletico Goianiense or draw80.3%

Vila Nova or draw52.8%

Either team wins66.9%

Draw no bet: Atletico Goianiense70.6%

Draw no bet: Vila Nova29.4%

Atletico Goianiense win to nil36.9%

Vila Nova win to nil15.0%

Team goals

Atletico Goianiense to score65.8%

Vila Nova to score44.0%

Atletico Goianiense over 1.5 goals29.1%

Vila Nova over 1.5 goals11.5%

Atletico Goianiense clean sheet56.0%

Vila Nova clean sheet34.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

Prediction, preview and head to head: Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova

Head to Head

Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
April 4, 2026	Vila Nova	2 - 1	Atletico Goianiense
March 1, 2026	Vila Nova	0 - 0	Atletico Goianiense
February 22, 2026	Atletico Goianiense	2 - 0	Vila Nova
January 25, 2026	Vila Nova	1 - 2	Atletico Goianiense
October 18, 2025	Atletico Goianiense	1 - 0	Vila Nova

League Table

Serie BBrazil · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventude	25	13	7	5	26	13	+13	46
2	Vila Nova	25	13	5	7	37	25	+12	44
3	Criciuma	25	12	8	5	26	19	+7	44
4	Novorizontino	25	12	7	6	41	22	+19	43
5	Fortaleza EC	25	11	8	6	28	22	+6	41
6	CRB	25	11	6	8	37	35	+2	39
7	Atletico Goianiense	25	10	9	6	28	23	+5	39
8	Sport Recife	25	9	11	5	33	24	+9	38
9	Operario-PR	25	10	7	8	31	32	-1	37
10	Goias	25	10	6	9	25	30	-5	36
11	Cuiaba	25	8	12	5	23	19	+4	36
12	Nautico Recife	26	9	8	9	30	28	+2	35
13	Athletic Club	25	8	10	7	26	27	-1	34
14	São Bernardo	25	8	8	9	34	29	+5	32
15	Botafogo SP	26	8	8	10	29	28	+1	32
16	Avai	25	8	5	12	27	31	-4	29
17	Ceara	25	7	7	11	25	32	-7	28
18	Londrina	25	5	7	13	29	36	-7	22
19	America Mineiro	25	3	5	17	18	42	-24	14
20	Ponte Preta	25	2	4	19	16	52	-36	10

Relegation

Serie B - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Juventude	25	13	7	5	26	13	13	46	WLWWD
2	Vila Nova	25	13	5	7	37	25	12	44	LWLLW
3	Criciuma	25	12	8	5	26	19	7	44	DWWWW
4	Novorizontino	25	12	7	6	41	22	19	43	WLLLW
5	Fortaleza EC	25	11	8	6	28	22	6	41	WLWLW
6	CRB	25	11	6	8	37	35	2	39	WWWDL
7	Atletico Goianiense	25	10	9	6	28	23	5	39	WWDWL
8	Sport Recife	25	9	11	5	33	24	9	38	DDDDL
9	Operario-PR	25	10	7	8	31	32	-1	37	LWDWW
10	Goias	25	10	6	9	25	30	-5	36	LDWDW
11	Cuiaba	25	8	12	5	23	19	4	36	DLLDW
12	Nautico Recife	26	9	8	9	30	28	2	35	DWLLD
13	Athletic Club	25	8	10	7	26	27	-1	34	DWDDL
14	São Bernardo	25	8	8	9	34	29	5	32	LLDDL
15	Botafogo SP	26	8	8	10	29	28	1	32	LWDDW
16	Avai	25	8	5	12	27	31	-4	29	LWDWL
17	Ceara	25	7	7	11	25	32	-7	28	WLDDL
18	Londrina	25	5	7	13	29	36	-7	22	LLDDW
19	America Mineiro	25	3	5	17	18	42	-24	14	WLDDL
20	Ponte Preta	25	2	4	19	16	52	-36	10	DLLLL

Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova Prediction - August 15, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova?

Match highlights

Match analysis

Vila Nova have found the net in only two of their last five games

Atletico have won three of the last five meetings, but one went to four goals

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

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Correlated combos

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Head to Head

League Table

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